GOVERNMENT TRUST INDEX
54
/ 100
โš ๏ธ CAUTION ZONE
๐Ÿ“š Education 72
CM Schools + UP Board Education reforms โ†‘
๐Ÿฅ Health 58
370 Arogya Mandirs, 7L Ayushman beneficiaries
๐Ÿ—๏ธ Infrastructure 42
4,000+ e-buses, Metro expansion coming
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Law & Order 52
Crime DOWN โ€” murder 491, snatching 5,406
๐ŸŽ Welfare Schemes 48
ODOP centres 71, Kanya Sumangala Yojana delayed
๐ŸŒฟ Environment 38
AQI 186, Ganga improving
30-DAY TREND
โ†“ -12%
vs Last Month ยท -12 pts (recovery underway)
โš ๏ธ
Trust Index Alert: 1-Year Report Card Backlash โ€” Score at 54
Multiple factors: Ganga water crisis (-3 pts), Kanya Sumangala Yojana non-payment (-2 pts), CHC-to-Health & Wellness Centre upgrades slow (-2 pts), "UP Behaal" campaign amplification (-1 pt). Recovery underway โ€” up from 48 low point. AI has prepared prescriptive recovery plan.
๐Ÿ” WHY IS TRUST LOW? - Root Cause Chain
Trust Index: 54 โ†“
โ†
1-Yr Report Card Backlash
โ†
Unfulfilled Promises (Kanya Sumangala Yojana โ‚น0)
โ†
Infrastructure Crisis (Water + Pipes)
โ†
"UP Behaal" Opposition Campaign
250 CHCs upgraded under NHM, 370 Arogya Mandirs operational
+
Ganga ammonia stabilizing at 1.2 mg/L after Jan spike
+
Anti-encroachment drives displacing 27K+
๐Ÿค– AI Insight: Unlike a single-crisis scenario, this trust dip is a multi-factor systemic decline at the 1-year governance mark. The "UP Behaal" campaign by SP (150+ hoardings, #MissesAkhilesh trending) is amplifying real grievances โ€” especially Kanya Sumangala Yojana where zero payments have been disbursed in 12 months (source: Newslaundry, Feb 20, 2026). Healthcare is expanding: 250 CHCs upgraded under NHM, 370 Arogya Mandirs operational (51 new inaugurated), 7L Ayushman beneficiaries enrolled (source: UP Health Dept, Medical Dialogues). Transport is a bright spot: 4,000+ e-buses delivered making UP India's largest electric bus fleet (source: UPSRTC, Feb 2026). Crime data improving: snatching down from 6,493 to 5,406 cases, murder down to 491, burglary down 26%. Water infra stabilizing: Ganga ammonia at 1.2 mg/L after Jan spike, AQI improving to 186. Trust recovering from 48 low point โ€” immediate action on welfare payments can accelerate recovery to 62 by May 2026. Without intervention, trust may fall to 48 again.
๐Ÿ“Š Sector-wise Trust Analysis
๐Ÿ“š
Education
72
โœ… STABLE
CM Schools + UP Board Education reforms
๐Ÿฅ
Health
58
โš ๏ธ EXPANDING
250 CHCs upgraded, 370 Arogya Mandirs operational across 75 districts
๐Ÿ—๏ธ
Infrastructure
42
โš ๏ธ IMPROVING
4,000+ e-buses (India's largest fleet), Metro expansion coming
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ
Law & Order
52
โš ๏ธ IMPROVING
Snatching down to 5,406, murder 491, burglary DOWN 26%
๐ŸŽ
Welfare Schemes
48
๐Ÿšจ CRITICAL
ODOP centres 71, Kanya Sumangala Yojana delayed
๐ŸŒฟ
Environment
38
๐Ÿšจ CRITICAL
AQI 186 (Unhealthy, improving from winter peak)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Historical Trust Trend
๐Ÿš€
Recovery Forecast โ€” May 2026
AI-predicted trust recovery scenarios (3-month horizon)

Current Score: 54 | Recovering from 48 low point (up 6 pts)

With Recommended Actions โ†’ Recovery to 62 by May 2026

1. IMMEDIATE: Start Kanya Sumangala Yojana payments (โ‚น2,500/mo)

2. URGENT: Maintain water treatment stability (ammonia at 1.2 mg/L)

3. HIGH: Accelerate bus fleet to 7,500 target (4,000+ delivered)

4. MEDIUM: Scale Arogya Mandirs to 500 (currently 370)

Without Intervention โ†’ Drop to 48 by May 2026

Risk: "UP Behaal" narrative solidifies before Nagar Nigam elections

๐Ÿ“ Division-wise Trust Index โ€” Feb 2026
Based on social listening, grievance data & field surveys
Lucknow
78
Capital โ€” highest
Gorakhpur
74
CM hometown โ€” strong services
Varanasi
55
Water issues emerging
Meerut
52
Waterlogging complaints
Agra
49
Snatching + water issues
Kanpur
46
Jhansi drain issues
Prayagraj
42
Snatching + water crisis
Bareilly
38
AQI 186 + encroachment
Jhansi
34
LOWEST โ€” all issues converge